Brazil Agriculture Market Size Projected at USD 154.96 Billion by 2030 with Rising Exports and Precision Agri Trends
The Brazil agriculture market size is projected to grow from USD 128.60 billion in 2025 to USD 154.96 billion by 2030, expanding at a 3.80% CAGR, according to Mordor Intelligence. Robust export earnings, a rapid shift toward precision-agriculture tools, and steady acreage expansion are positioning Brazil as one of the most competitive agribusiness hubs worldwide.
In 2024, agribusiness exports reached USD 153 billion, representing 48.9% of national exports. This performance underscores the sector’s critical role in the national economy while highlighting Brazil’s position as a reliable supplier to high-demand global markets, especially China.
The Brazil agriculture industry is anchored in a combination of large-scale commercial farming, strong export linkages, and ongoing modernization of production systems. The adoption of digital farming platforms by 84% of Brazilian farmers is helping reduce costs and increase yields, while targeted rural credit programs inject significant capital into the sector. The 2024–2025 Plano Safra alone committed BRL 618 billion (USD 112.1 billion) to support crop production, sustainability upgrades, and mechanization.
Growing demand from China for soy, corn, and value-added agricultural products, coupled with rising corn-ethanol output, is adding depth to both domestic consumption and export pipelines. Meanwhile, infrastructure projects such as upgraded Northern Arc ports and the Bioceanic Railway aim to streamline logistics and strengthen Brazil’s competitive position.
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Brazil Agriculture Market Key Trends
Strong Chinese Demand
Brazil’s soybean exports to China surged 37.5% year-on-year in May 2025, driven by diversification away from U.S. suppliers. A newly signed trade agreement opens a USD 65 million niche for Brazilian DDG/DDGS exports to China, historically dominated by U.S. suppliers. The Central-West region stands to gain the most due to proximity to crushing plants and improved road links to northern ports.
Double-Cropping Expansion
The ongoing expansion of safrinha acreage is transforming degraded pasture into productive cornfields, increasing planted area by 35%. Second-season corn now represents 75% of national output, with short-cycle soybean varieties freeing up planting windows for optimal corn yields. These practices meet growing ethanol plant demand while limiting deforestation.
Rural Credit Support
The 2024–2025 Plano Safra increased subsidized loan allocations by 9% year-on-year, with BRL 110 billion (USD 19.95 billion) prioritized for family farmers. While large-producer loans faced temporary freezes, dedicated funding for precision-ag machinery and bioinputs continues to support efficiency improvements.
Precision Agriculture and Digitalization
Significant investment in agtech—USD 199 million in 2024—is driving adoption of real-time monitoring and automated farm machinery. Companies like Solinftec are deploying autonomous monitoring towers, while machinery manufacturers invest in AI-enabled harvesters that make thousands of automatic adjustments per day.
Challenges
Price volatility, logistical bottlenecks, and water-use conflicts remain challenges. Overland transport from the Central-West to ports can erode farm-gate margins, while rail coverage is still limited. Weather risks, particularly in MATOPIBA, also pose constraints.
Brazil Agriculture Market Segmentation
By Commodity Type
- Oilseeds and Pulses – Accounted for 38.5% of market value in 2024, led by soybeans. Forecast production of 167.3 million metric tons in 2025 supports feed, biofuel, and export markets.
- Fiber Crops – Expected to grow at a 7.1% CAGR through 2030, with cotton demand rising due to sustainability standards and yield improvements from high-density planting and advanced irrigation.
- Cereals and Grains – Corn demand is supported by food, feed, and ethanol sectors, with 22 new ethanol plants planned.
- Sugar Crops – Benefit from record sugarcane harvests of 713 million metric tons in 2023, serving sweetener and bioenergy markets.
- Other Crops – Coffee exports rose 34% in early 2025; cocoa, fruits, and vegetables are expanding in value-added segments such as essential oils and dehydrated products.
By Geography
- Central-West – Holds 39.5% market share in 2024 and is projected to grow at 5.9% CAGR. Mato Grosso alone produces over 31% of national crop output.
- South – Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul benefit from strong cooperative networks and machinery manufacturing clusters.
- North & Northeast – Expansion fueled by land availability and improved port access, shortening voyages to Asian buyers.
- Southeast – Focused on high-margin crops such as citrus and sugarcane, with heavy automation in processing facilities.
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Brazil Agriculture Market Key Players
The Brazil agriculture landscape features a mix of large-scale producers, cooperatives, and agribusiness multinationals. Major global input providers, equipment manufacturers, and trading companies maintain strong footprints in the country, often partnering with local cooperatives to enhance distribution and service reach. Local players leverage regional expertise and deep-rooted farmer networks, particularly in high-growth frontiers like MATOPIBA and the Northern Arc.
Government-backed institutions, credit cooperatives, and research bodies such as Embrapa continue to play a central role in technology dissemination, soil research, and sustainability certifications.
Conclusion
The Brazil agriculture market is set for steady expansion through 2030, underpinned by resilient export demand, increasing adoption of digital farming practices, and government-backed credit initiatives. Soybeans will remain the anchor crop, but growth in cotton, corn, and value-added fruits and vegetables signals a diversifying portfolio. Infrastructure upgrades and precision-agriculture adoption will be critical to sustaining competitiveness in the face of logistical and climatic challenges.
While global price swings and trade dependencies add complexity, Brazil’s scale, resource base, and innovation capacity ensure that it will remain a leading force in global agribusiness. The sector’s trajectory reflects a balance of large-scale efficiency and sustainability-focused transformation, positioning it as a benchmark for emerging-market agriculture in the decade ahead.
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