India Rice Market to Hit USD 60.1 Billion by 2030 with Strong Export Growth

 The India rice market size is valued at USD 47.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 60.1 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.0%. Policy-driven procurement, export growth, technology-enabled productivity gains, and rising domestic demand are shaping India’s position as a leading global rice producer and exporter.

India accounts for more than 30% of global rice exports, supported by large-scale procurement policies, increasing mechanization, and technological innovations in seed varieties and irrigation systems. Government interventions, including higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP) and mandatory fortification programs, have strengthened domestic demand while lifting farmer incomes. At the same time, the removal of the non-basmati export ban has created new opportunities in international markets, reinforcing India’s role in global rice trade.

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Key Trends Driving the India Rice Market

1. Rising Domestic Per-Capita Consumption

Urban consumers increasingly prefer value-added rice products, including high-protein and low-glycemic index varieties. Investments in fortified, branded, and nutritionally enhanced rice align with growing health awareness, driving premiumization across modern retail channels.

2. Mandatory Rice Fortification for Public Distribution

The government’s fortification mandate across the Public Distribution System (PDS) ensures consistent annual demand for fortified rice. With blending equipment installed in over 21,000 mills, suppliers benefit from stable procurement, while public health objectives support long-term adoption of nutrient-enriched grains.

3. Higher MSP and Increased Procurement Volumes

Rising MSP levels and record procurement volumes have improved farmer incomes, reduced market volatility, and encouraged the adoption of high-yield hybrid varieties. However, regional concentration in states like Punjab, West Bengal, and Uttar Pradesh creates procurement-linked income disparities.

4. Technology Adoption in Irrigation and Mechanization

Direct-seeded rice, laser-leveled fields, and genome-edited seed varieties are improving yields and water efficiency. Government subsidies and digital monitoring systems enable smallholders to access precision farming tools, boosting productivity while addressing labor shortages.

5. Export Recovery Post Policy Reversal

The lifting of the 2024 export ban on non-basmati rice has revived shipments to Africa and the Middle East. Branding efforts and fortified product lines help maintain India’s competitive edge despite higher logistics costs compared to regional competitors.

Market Segmentation: India Rice Market Analysis

The India rice market can be segmented across multiple parameters:

By Rice Type

  • Basmati Rice: Premium demand in both domestic and export markets, supported by branding and quality certifications.
  • Non-Basmati Rice: Bulk procurement for PDS and key exports to Africa and Middle Eastern countries.

By End Use

  • Household Consumption: Rising urban demand for fortified, branded, and specialty rice varieties.
  • Food Processing & HoReCa: Use in ready-to-eat meals, snacks, and hospitality sectors.
  • Exports: Strong presence in West Africa, Middle East, and Asian markets, aided by policy support.

By Distribution Channel

  • Government Procurement: Dominates volumes through PDS and state-led procurement schemes.
  • Retail and E-commerce: Fast-growing segment as consumers shift toward packaged and branded rice.

Regional Insights: Concentrated Production and Export Hubs

  • Punjab and Haryana: Lead basmati rice exports with canal irrigation, procurement infrastructure, and branding initiatives supporting premium positioning.
  • Eastern States: Supply non-basmati rice to PDS channels and emerging export markets.
  • Southern India: Telangana and Andhra Pradesh benefit from canal modernization and multi-cropping subsidies, expanding production capacity.
  • Coastal Regions: Eastern coastal belts face logistical constraints despite high productivity, limiting export margins due to port infrastructure challenges.

Remote-sensing water management practices in Punjab and Haryana showcase potential for climate-resilient production, while regional diversification reduces risks from extreme weather events and monsoon volatility.

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Competitive Landscape: Key Players in the India Rice Market

The India rice market features established players with strong procurement networks, export portfolios, and branding initiatives:

  • KRBL Limited – Leading basmati exporter with investments in premium product lines and branded retail channels.
  • LT Foods – Known for its global distribution network and premium basmati rice brands.
  • Amira Nature Foods – Focuses on value-added rice exports and fortified product development.
  • Kohinoor Foods – Offers branded basmati rice varieties with strong domestic and international presence.
  • Chaman Lal Setia Exports – Specializes in premium basmati rice with established export channels.

These companies are leveraging automation, digital traceability systems, and product diversification to maintain competitiveness across domestic and international markets.

Conclusion: Policy, Technology, and Trade to Drive Future Growth

The India rice market is set for steady growth driven by government procurement policies, rising domestic consumption of premium and fortified rice, and expanding export opportunities. Climate-resilient farming practices, irrigation modernization, and mechanization will enhance productivity, while branding and quality certifications will help Indian exporters sustain global market share. The convergence of technology, trade liberalization, and consumer health trends will shape the next growth phase for the India rice market.

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